中俄林产品贸易互补性及潜力分析

Analysis on Complementariness and Potential of Sino-Russian Forest Products Trade

Research Institute of Forestry Policy and Information, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China

摘要: 通过对中俄林产品比较优势指数、互补性指数的测算, 指出中国具有比较优势的产品以劳动密集型产品为主, 俄罗斯具有比较优势的产品以资源密集型产品为主, 且两国具有比较优势产品的互补性很强, 因此双方都能在国际贸易中获利。引入经常市场份额模型, 分析了俄罗斯对中国原木、锯材的出口量不断增长的原因及未来趋势。
- 中国 /
- 俄罗斯 /
- 林产品贸易 /
- 互补性
Abstract: Through analyzing the comparative advantage index and complementary index of Sina-Russian forest products, the paper pointed out that the comparative advantage in China lies in labor-intensive products, while the products with the comparative advantage in Russia are resource-intensive products, and the two countries are highly complementary in terms of the products with comparative advantage.As a result, both sides could make profit in international trade.Subsequently, market share model was introduced, to analyze the reasons why Russian timber and sawnwood exports to China constantly grow as well as the future trend.
- China /
- Russia /
- forest product trade /
- complementariness

表 1 2008年中俄主要林产品RCA指数

表 2 中俄两国林产品贸易互补性指数

表 3 1997―2008年俄罗斯对中国原木及锯材出口增长源泉分析 %

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