稿件编号:20150513
李俊枝,张滨,吕洁华.基于VAR模型的森林生态系统适应性管理与经济发展动态关联分析——以黑龙江省大小兴安岭森林生态功能区为例[J].世界林业研究,2015,28(5):74~81
基于VAR模型的森林生态系统适应性管理与经济发展动态关联分析——以黑龙江省大小兴安岭森林生态功能区为例
Dynamic Correlation Analysis of Adaptive Management of Forest Ecosystem and Economic Development Based on VAR Model:A Case Study of Daxing'anling and Xiaoxing'anling Forest Ecological Function Zone in Heilongjiang Province
投稿时间:2015-07-07  修订日期:2015-09-23
DOI:10.13348/j.cnki.sjlyyj.2015.05.007
中文关键词:  森林生态系统  适应性管理  经济发展  大小兴安岭生态功能区
英文关键词:forest ecosystem  adaptive management  economic development  Daxing'anling and Xiaoxing'anling Forest Ecological Function Zone
基金项目:黑龙江省哲学社会科学规划项目(14B123);内蒙古自治区高等学校科学研究项目(NJSY379)
作者单位E-mail
李俊枝 东北林业大学经济管理学院, 哈尔滨 150040
满洲里俄语职业学院, 内蒙古 满洲里 021400 
 
张滨 东北林业大学经济管理学院, 哈尔滨 150040  
吕洁华 东北林业大学经济管理学院, 哈尔滨 150040 Lvjiehua2004@126.com 
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中文摘要:
      将衡量森林生态功能区森林生态系统适应性管理效果的指标分解为气候调节、生态保持、产品供给、休闲服务4项,通过主成分分析计算得到各个指标的重要性;利用VAR模型分析黑龙江省大小兴安岭森林生态系统适应性管理与经济发展的相互影响;根据脉冲响应函数分析得到森林生态系统适应性管理与经济发展之间的动态关联关系,据此给出若干提高森林生态系统服务水平和促进经济发展的对策和建议。
英文摘要:
      Principal component analysis was used to calculate the importance of indicators that measure the adaptive management effect of forest ecosystem in forest ecological function zones, which were broken down 4 categories into climate regulation, ecological keeping, product supply-demand and leisure services. VAR Model was used to analyze the interactive influences between adaptive management and economic development at Daxing'anling and Xiaoxing'anling Forest Ecological Function Zone in Heilongjiang Province, and the dynamic correlation were also simulated and analyzed by impulse response function. Finally, this paper presented some strategies and recommendations on enhancing the service level of forest ecosystem and promoting economic development.
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